TRUMP’S SECOND TERM: THE INTENSIFICATION OF AMERICAN– CHINESE RIVALRY AS A FACTOR IN THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE WORLD ORDER AND ITS IMPLICATIONS FOR UKRAINE
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Дата
2026
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Анотація
The article examines the contemporary rivalry between the People's Republic of
China (PRC) and the United States of America (USA) as a defining phenomenon of international
politics in the twenty-first century, focusing on China's strategies aimed at achieving global
leadership. Particular attention is paid to the economic, military, technological, and geopolitical
dimensions of this competition. The study also analyses the implications of U.S.–China rivalry for
Ukraine, a state undergoing profound transformations of its security environment as a result of
Russia's aggression and the intensification of global strategic competition. Based on a comprehensive
analysis of strategic documents, reports by leading analytical centres, monitoring data, and scholarly
publications, the author demonstrates that China is pursuing a deliberate and multidimensional
strategy to expand its global influence. In the economic sphere, the "dual circulation" strategy is
designed to simultaneously strengthen the domestic market and expand external economic ties,
positioning the PRC as a central actor in global value chains. Of particular importance is the Belt
and Road Initiative (BRI), which represents not only an infrastructure and transportation project but
also a tool for enhancing China's geo-economic influence in Asia, Africa, Europe, and Latin America.
In the technological domain, China has made significant progress in critical sectors such as artificial
intelligence, fifth-generation telecommunications networks, and energy technologies, thereby
creating the foundations for competition with the United States for technological leadership. The
military component of China's strategy includes the modernisation of its armed forces, the expansion
of its nuclear capabilities, and the strengthening of power projection in the Indo-Pacific region. The
article also explores the core elements of strategic competition between the United States and China.
Despite China's rapid economic growth and increasing influence in global trade and technology, the
United States continues to maintain an advantage in traditional elements of military power and in its
extensive system of international alliances.
Опис
A central focus of the article is the assessment of the implications of U.S.–China rivalry
for Ukraine. The author identifies three key dimensions: security, economic, and civilisational. From
a security perspective, Ukraine remains highly dependent on the support of the United States and its
allies in countering Russian aggression, making changes in the global balance of power critically
important for its national security. Economically, intensified competition between the two great
powers contributes to the fragmentation of global markets, the restructuring of value chains, and the
rise of technological protectionism, potentially limiting Ukraine's opportunities for integration into
global economic networks. In the civilisational dimension, the rivalry between liberal-democratic
and authoritarian models of governance has direct consequences for Ukraine as a state that has
chosen a path of European integration and democratic development. The article concludes that
contemporary rivalry between the United States and China is not a short-term phenomenon but a
long-term process that is reshaping the rules of international politics, economics, and security.
Ukraine, given its geopolitical position and strategic orientation, must take these dynamics into
account when formulating its foreign policy, defence strategies, and economic development priorities.